<HTML><HEAD></HEAD>
<BODY dir=ltr>
<DIV dir=ltr>
<DIV style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Arial'; COLOR: #000000; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">
<DIV>“This just in” from the Oklahoma Farm News . . . 100 days of 100+ heat,
drought continues, clock is ticking for the 2012 wheat crop.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>As I said in my bobaganda this month, now is a good time to stock up on
food. <A
href="http://bobaganda.blogspot.com">http://bobaganda.blogspot.com</A> </DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Bob Waldrop, OKC</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<TABLE style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; COLOR: #000000" border=0 cellSpacing=0
cellPadding=0 width=600>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD><FONT style="FONT-FAMILY: ; COLOR: " color=#000000 size=2
face=Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif><FONT
style="FONT-FAMILY: ; COLOR: " color=#000000 size=2
face=Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif><STRONG>Oklahoma Crop
Weather Update - La Niña Returning </STRONG>
<DIV><STRONG>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~</STRONG></DIV></FONT>In
the latest Crop Weather Update, the issue of La Niña was up for
discussion, saying- "All indications from NOAA (National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration) show a gradual strengthening of La Niña
throughout the fall and into the winter. This may mean above normal
temperatures and below normal precipitation from late fall into the early
spring for drought stricken Oklahoma and the southern plains region.
September kicked off with welcomed relief with high temperatures for all
districts ranging from 87 to 82 degrees. Even with the break in
temperatures severe drought conditions still limited wheat and other fall
planting. Topsoil moisture conditions continued to decline, with 86
percent of the state rated very short. Subsoil moisture conditions dropped
slightly to 88 percent rated very short."
<P>For our spring-planted crops, according to the USDA- "Seedbed
preparations increased slightly but small grain planting was limited as
little precipitation was received across the state. Seedbed preparation
for wheat ground was 55 percent complete by week's end, just 13 points
behind normal. Rye ground plowed was 90 percent complete and 45 percent of
seedbeds were prepared by Sunday, 26 points behind the five-year average.
Plowing of oat ground was 93 percent complete with 42 percent of seedbeds
prepared. Canola seedbed preparation reached 67 percent complete by the
end of the week, up 17 points from the previous week."<BR><BR>"Crop
condition ratings remained mostly very poor for most crops. Any remaining
crops were struggling or salvaged for hay or silage. Peanuts were rated
mostly fair. Of the corn still in the fields, 83 percent was mature and 56
percent had been harvested by week's end. Sorghum heading reached 89
percent complete, coloring was 50 percent complete, 23 percent was mature,
and seven percent was harvested by Sunday. Soybean blooming was 91 percent
complete, 70 percent were setting pods, and six percent was harvested by
week's end. Peanuts setting pods reached 89 percent, and 10 percent were
mature by Sunday, 23 points behind normal. Cotton reached 87 percent
setting bolls, 13 points behind normal. Boll opening reached 20 percent
complete by week's end, 15 points behind the five-year average." </P>
<P>Hay production continued to fall behind normal with conditions rated
mostly very poor for all hay. Second cuttings of alfalfa were 95 percent
complete and third cuttings were 44 percent complete by the end of the
week, 56 points behind normal. Second cutting of other hay reached 40
percent complete by Sunday, 24 points behind the five-year average. </P>
<P><A style="COLOR: "
href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=hzssiubab&et=1107378665092&s=1701&e=001FHf3kENL26FLsWw6X-3wriKuLZbSR47_Ex8BSHjE4QZtuNpMVs1LAXUMDJVUlvoIryJTtKajloz3yocbWZNCtuUJG-z-g9ZXd2p-BoroRBecRtOHFRN_GFsany6LgEk1vBs6e3k7NofV7WJrawpEK_s5rE8tXYSo9kSCoiWih50ksk9y0j3GeemaMK9Fxe8ucDNSa8tv1AYm6GgN_QpsV5sr-oiQdq2-9_iC0MucQ12Tzm5pfsV_dryMp_OQRN_ktptKE2tvJoE="
shape=rect color="#0000FF"><FONT color=#0000ff>Click here for the complete
Crop Weather Update for Monday, September 12, 2011</FONT></A>
</P></FONT></TD></TR>
<TR>
<TD><FONT style="FONT-FAMILY: ; COLOR: " color=#000000 size=2
face=Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif><BR><FONT
style="FONT-FAMILY: ; COLOR: " color=#000000 size=2
face=Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif><STRONG>One Hundred 100s-
and Rain May Finally Arrive </STRONG>
<DIV><STRONG>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~</STRONG></DIV></FONT>Grandfield
made it official on Monday, putting the cherry on top of the "days at or
above 100 degrees" record for Oklahoma at an even, well ONE HUNDRED. Just
another of the extremes we've seen this summer and year. Recall that the
previous record was 86 days from Hollis in 1956. Not only has Grandfield
utterly destroyed that record this year, other southwestern Oklahoma towns
Altus, Hollis, Mangum, and Tipton have exceeded that 86 days mark (and
Walters is on the verge).
<P>There's a chance that many of these communities could add one more
century mark reading to its meteorological achievements today- before a
big change in the weather patterns arrive. From the weather discussion
coming from the boys in Norman this morning- "A much stronger front will
arrive Wednesday into Wednesday evening as a shortwave/upper low moves
across the Great Lakes region. As an upper low/trough over the
southwestern states moves East- precipitation will become likely across a
large part of the southern plains Wednesday night into Thursday. Clouds
and relatively cool air behind the front will result in very cool high
temperatures for mid September. Clouds and precipitation on Thursday will
likely keep most areas in the 60s with some 70s possible south." </P>
<P>Chances of precipitation jump well over 50% in a lot of the state
Wednesday night into Thursday. In his email communication- Gary McManus
describes the possibilities- "Speaking of rainfall, we've been promised
some lovely wet, gray days during this week. The Hydrometeorological
Prediction Center shows a 5-day precipitation forecast of greater than in
inch in southwestern Oklahoma. This is something concrete to hope for."
<BR><BR>I emailed Gary about this long "Hydro" word- and he sears its a
real word- what we are hoping for is real rain- real soon. </P>
<P><A style="COLOR: "
href="http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=hzssiubab&et=1107378665092&s=1701&e=001FHf3kENL26Glt1XMMzuhgFvXs5U5sV1BywXdnS7WYjuAvjnluRMkljP0xiIEeJqpJRyqCdqd1827QZXZKb_E8GmvtvAmM50k1xUxqfKfYUjFkvUkUsyIpSv8Je-N428BeIeTNjWbUIsCBX6FLxk619vOSvWLFDexfQp4cBWXmsE="
shape=rect color="#0000FF"><FONT color=#0000ff>Click here for a rainfall
prediction map from the mesonet folks for later this week for
Oklahoma.</FONT></A> </P></FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<DIV> </DIV><FONT style="FONT-FAMILY: ; COLOR: " color=#000000
size=2><STRONG><FONT face=Verdana>OSU's Dr. Derrell Peel says The Clock is
Ticking Away on Winter Wheat Pasture Prospects </FONT></STRONG>
<DIV><STRONG><FONT
face=Verdana>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~</FONT></STRONG></DIV></FONT><FONT
face=Verdana><FONT style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">The window of opportunity for
planting winter wheat for grazing is rapidly closing. According to Dr. Derrell
Peel, Oklahoma State University Extension Livestock Marketing Specialist, in
Oklahoma, dual-purpose or forage-only winter wheat generally needs to be planted
by mid-September in order to produce significant fall and winter forage. Wheat
planted for grain-only has about another month to be in the ideal planting
window. <BR><BR>It will take two to three significant moisture events in order
to establish and support fall wheat forage growth and the first of those events
needs to happen in the next week or so. There is some chance for limited rain
showers this coming week which likely represent the last chance for early
planting of wheat for forage. </FONT></FONT>
<P><FONT face=Verdana><FONT style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Winter wheat grazing
normally supports a large winter stocker industry in Oklahoma. The January 1
estimate of feeder cattle outside of feedlots has averaged about 2.3 million
head the last ten years. This value includes roughly a million head of stocker
cattle that are brought into Oklahoma for winter grazing in addition to stocker
cattle retained from Oklahoma's 1..9 million head calf crop. These in-shipments
of cattle will be drastically reduced given current prospects for winter wheat
pasture. </FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=Verdana><FONT style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt">The extreme drought
conditions has resulted in severely reduced hay and pasture production and now
seems likely to limit winter wheat forage to a small fraction of normal
production. Many calves in Oklahoma have already been marketed as early weaned
calves and have moved to feedlots or to better forage out of state. That fact,
combined with few calves brought in as stockers may result in an Oklahoma feeder
supply on January 1, 2012 that is down by one million head or more.
</FONT></FONT></P>
<DIV> </DIV></DIV></DIV></BODY></HTML>